PLO8 Hand 1: Your Goal is Still Scooping
$200 PL Omaha Hi/Lo - Monday, June 20
Seat 6 is the button
Total number of players : 9
Seat 1: ( $178.81 ) Our MegaFish
Seat 5: ( $334.68 )
Seat 10: ( $155.28 )
Seat 7: ( $446.57 ) Our Hero
Seat 4: ( $189.8 )
Seat 8: ( $572.26 )
Seat 6: ( $252.4 )
Seat 2: ( $80.31 )
Seat 3: ( $187 )
Hero posts small blind [$1].
BB posts big blind [$2].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ 6 3 3 A ]
5 Fishies limp in
Hero calls [$1].
Yes, 5 Count 'em 5 Fishies limp in. This was a good game.
I don't raise because there aren't many cards that let me scoop, and I'm out of position.
** Dealing Flop ** [ J, 3, 6 ]
MegaFish bets [$10].
All fold to Hero.
I have a set! What to do?
Answer: You fold, and it's not that close.
To bet from early position into a field of 6 opponents, our villain MegaFish must have one of the following:
- a higher set ie. JJ, 66 . It this case, I am buried and drawing dead.
- A2 plus something like Jx, J6, QQ, 45. In this case, he has around an 78% chance of making his low, so I'd just get my money back. And he has some chances of making a high. With a pair he has two outs, with straight draw he's got 8 outs, and with a monster like A2JJ I'm crushed.
Now, you might think that's monster-under-the-bed syndrome. But the bottom line is:
I have no chance for low on a flop that will generate a low 80% of the time. AND my high might be beat and can be outdrawn. AND I'm out of position playing semi-deep-stacked.